In thinking about national politics for the upcoming year, the Supreme Court is the wildcard. What will we be talking about during the first half of the year? The usual suspects probably–taxes, immigration, foreign policy, climate change, etc. If King v. Burwell goes against the Administration, though, we will be talking about nothing but health care in the second half of the year. We will have no choice, as Congress and most of the states will have to come up with a response to the loss of subsidies for millions of people. If King goes the other way, though, then we won’t be talking about health care much at all.
I haven’t a clue as to what the Court will do in King. Oral argument in March will either be very anticlimactic or thrilling–stay tuned.