Horse Racing the Democratic Endgame — Spoiler Alert?
First, I should disclose that I’m an Obama supporter, and I have been from the outset. I’ve given his campaign money, I’ve made calls, I hit the streets, I even worked the legal boiler room in Austin last week for his campaign in Texas (I also punched in some phone lines, bought donuts, and did about a dozen other things — and if you’ve ever worked a campaign, you’ll know how that goes). My hope is that he is our next president, and if he wins in Pennsylvania, I think there’s a fair chance he will be.
But I’m also a realist and, after Texas and Ohio, I’m starting to look around for alternative endings. Here’s one that seems, at least for the moment, not as horrific as the Democratic implosion many are predicting.
Let’s say Clinton, by orchestrating a rerun in Florida and Michigan (she’ll pay for it herself if she has to), comes out ahead in delegates and popular votes. Were that the case, she’d be the presumptive nominee. Who should she offer the VP slot to? Obama, of course; she’d be a fool not to. If she doesn’t, she’ll alienate many of his supporters and, in all likelihood, lose the general election. Of course she’ll have to put up with him stealing her thunder whenever they’re together, but that’s a small price for her to pay to sit in the Oval Office. She needs Obama to win.
And he’ll accept; he’d be a fool not to. He’d be the presumptive nominee in eight years with all the “executive experience” anyone could want from him — and he’ll still be relatively young for a nominee. I think he also wouldn’t have much of a choice. If he were to refuse, he’d be seen as an election spoiler.
Of course, he may well be the nominee — in which case he would offer her the VP slot. At her age, though, I’m not sure she’d be willing to take one for the team. And I don’t think she’d worry overly about spoiling the election for the Democrats.