The US economy’s long stall has confounded establishment economists. Many jobs aren’t coming back. Median wealth has declined by 39% over four years, even as GDP continues to grow (and that growth primarily benefits those at the top.) The “quantitative easers” seem content to print money for the same lords of finance and industry that got us into the current crisis. Some Keynesians have good ideas about infrastructure spending, but are blocked by political gridlock. Meanwhile, a golden remnant discerns salvation in a hard money-driven debt deflation.
On a personal level, the advice gets even more confusing. First, economists told workers to get more skills and education. A “skills gap” left much of America’s workforce unable to compete globally in information age economies. But then it turned out that college graduates were suffering in the current downturn, too. The solution: more education. But what about unemployed grad students? Finally, the economists had an answer: more of the right type of education. Science was the golden ticket. As Thomas Friedman never tires of opining, the geeks will inherit the earth.
Except, it seems, for the chemists and biologists. It turns out they might not be doing as well as even the despised lawyers. Here are some impressions from the Washington Post story “U.S. pushes for more scientists, but the jobs aren’t there:”
“There have been many predictions of [science] labor shortages and . . .robust job growth,” said Jim Austin, editor of the online magazine ScienceCareers. “And yet, it seems awfully hard for people to find a job. Anyone who goes into science expecting employers to clamor for their services will be deeply disappointed.” . . . Since 2000, U.S. drug firms have slashed 300,000 jobs. . . . [According to one laid-off drug developer,] “Very good chemists with PhDs from Stanford can’t find jobs.”
Perhaps labor economists like Claudia Goldin and Lawrence Katz will reassure us that Stanford chemists simply need to learn another skill, like end-to-end supply chain management or ventriloquism. Who knows what the magical market will need tomorrow?