3D printed cars were a growing possibility while I researched Patents, Meet Napster: 3D Printing and the Digitization of Things. Now a company discussed in the article, Local Motors, has exceeded expectations in a wonderful way. It has produced a 3D printed car in a total of five days. The car, called the Strati, weighs about 2,200 pounds and can go about forty miles per hour. The expected retail price is $20,000. Now that seems less cool. But here is the really good stuff.
The design time and total number of parts is super low. Apparently, the design started in May and was complete four months later. Total number of parts 49 compared to 5,000 for a standard car. As one of the engineers, James Earl, put it in the article: “The thing that this lends most to is customisation-ality, [sic] so you can get a car that really suits your needs with very little monetary input from the design side.” These facts, if they hold up, are why car makers, or at least auto-parts suppliers may be excited or scared out of their minds.
We now have customized cars, with few parts, at a low cost. Let’s assume the cost could go down if the company scales up. Let’s also assume that some of these techniques are incorporated into other auto-maker’s manufacturing. The vast array of auto-suppliers that were in deep trouble when Detroit took a dive could soon be unnecessary. That network of industries Detroit supports could shrink and, in essence, vanish. At the same time, if India’s Tata Corporation, which aims to make low-cost cars for the growing middle class in India, jumps in, Local Motors could find a partner with cash to go big with its technology. High-end makers may allow for bespoke BMWs or Jaguars. Really tall or short people could have cars custom-built to their height and sight lines. Then again, Google may want the tech for its golf cart-like self-driving cars. Lots of possibilities, yes? That’s the point. Something amazing is bubbling up and fast. Which brings me to another point.
Sometimes when I presented the paper, there’d the law professor response of “I just don’t think the tech is there yet.” That view missed what motivated the paper. For once, I wanted to be ahead of the curve on law and technology. Being at Google solidified my view that one can assume the tech will come. “Whether 3D printing will realize all the dreams it currently inspires is not the question” is part of how the article engaged with this point. Local Motors and cars. 3D printed guns. The dreams or nightmares are coming true. Expect some incumbents to fight, some to fear monger, and some to embrace the change. As I offer in The New Steam: On Digitization, Decentralization, and Disruption “this era of disruption and decentralization will likely pass and new winners, who will look much like firms of old, will emerge, if they have not already.” For now, the car-world could be plunging into the disruption and decentralization phase. As Local Motors and others ramp up their factories and break through the regulatory issues, new players may find it harder to play. Until then, let the games begin!