Law’s Arbitrary Endpoints

Dave Hoffman

Dave Hoffman is the Murray Shusterman Professor of Transactional and Business Law at Temple Law School. He specializes in law and psychology, contracts, and quantitative analysis of civil procedure. He currently teaches contracts, civil procedure, corporations, and law and economics.

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1 Response

  1. Matt says:

    if we want to know how much to discount a batter’s achievements by luck, it might not make sense to look seasonally – – because there’s no good reason to expect that luck is packaged in April-to-October chunks.

    I’m a bit less sure that this is unreasonable, in part because things change in the off-season in ways that make a season a plausible unit of analysis- players change, getting better or worse for various reasons, opponents change, the way fields play, and so on. If anything, a season it too long to look at for “luck” in many cases, but you’ll see this noted in most semi-careful analysis. I’m not sure if there’s a parallel for supreme court terms, though to the extent the court is influenced by the general political climate (as it seems to be), there would be some grounds for breaking analysis into some sort of chunk (though probably chunks longer than a term in most cases.)